Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
scott@scottlongonline.com
Since my thoughts on the Rockies/D-backs series being bad for baseball were almost universally slammed, I have been in a more defensive crouch than a homophobe at a bath house. I thought I was over the topic, but the TV sports media critic at USA Today, Michael Hiestand had an article that summed up what I was afraid was going to happen in the NLCS.
Let's unwrap. TBS' first-ever coverage of the playoffs produced the four lowest ratings ever for prime-time League Championship Series games. Its games averaged 2.8% of U.S. TV households for the Colorado Rockies sweeping the Arizona Diamondbacks in the National League Championship Series.
Consider what else is in that ratings ballpark: In college football, ESPN's most recent coverage of the Emerald Bowl drew 3.7%, its Chick-Fil-A Bowl 4%. In golf, CBS' final-round telecast of the Nissan Open, Wachovia Championship and Bridgestone Invitational each drew 3.4%. And baseball this year got better ratings with ESPN's Home Run Derby (4.3%) and ABC's Little League World Series final (3.3%).
Hiestand breaks down a lot more of the particulars in his piece, which I recommend reading in full. Here was his final conclusion.
And while TBS' production was uneven, it wasn't so bad it drove away viewers. At least not many.
So let's just solve this riddle: Blame the teams.
They're from small markets: Phoenix is the USA's 12th-biggest TV market and Denver is No. 18.
Worse yet, even the hometown fans weren't all that interested. TBS' NLCS games averaged 26.4% of TV households in Denver and 13.6% in Phoenix. That's down from last year's New York Mets-St. Louis Cardinals NLCS, which drew 31.3% in St. Louis and 15.8% in New York, which has more than twice as many households as Phoenix and Denver combined.
And last year's NLCS had more appeal in big cities. The markets in which it got its highest ratings (after St. Louis and New York) were No. 2 Los Angeles, No. 4 Chicago and No. 5 Philadelphia. TBS' top cities, after Denver and Phoenix: No. 47 Memphis, No. 27 San Diego and No. 43 Las Vegas.
David Levy, president of Turner Sports, which has a seven-year MLB deal, agrees game times weren't the problem — "it had nothing to do with times" — and cites one pivotal factor: "It was the teams."
If so, that suggests a troubling big picture for baseball. When a sports league is strong, like the NFL, its playoff matchups should automatically have national appeal and teams' market sizes should be footnotes.
Still, Levy is optimistic in a sort of soul-of-corporate America manner: "From the get-go on this, we could not be happier!" At least on the record.
I realize this doesn't prove my point that this series was bad for the overall game of baseball, but it's hard to see what part of the NLCS was good for the game, except that a few young players on the Rockies received a little more attention. The Indians versus the Rockies will continue this virtual ratings boycott. I know, I know...it's ESPN and Fox's fault. I'm just bummed that I can't talk about the games with anyone I know, as they are all watching football. Where is a Goliath when you need them?
Yup, I agree with that. If anything, hard core fans will be pretty happy watching 2 new fresh young up & coming teams, I'll be watching that's for sure.
how about this: could you define, in one sentence, what "good for baseball" means?
I suspect that you and others here may have significantly different definitions..
It's their own doing. Start the games at a decent hour and it gets turned on at every bar in the U.S.
Is the answer then to do away with the luxury tax and ensure that the bigger fan bases, the bigger cities, have an even greater advantage thus ensuring happy ratings at the expense of your local Rocky/Diamondback fan? You know, for the good of the game.
I believe baseball has a better chance of turning more people into baseball fans over my-team fans with these entertaining have-not series than to perpetuate the illusion of a strong game by constantly pitting its biggest teams against each other.
The NFL comparisons are pointless as the sport is the equivalent of Sunday night bingo with the girls. :)
Has anyone analyzed which baseball TV and radio deals are profitable and by how much?
The game seems, overall, to be economically healthy, and the TV deals are part of that. Series of the Phoenix/Colorado variety have gotten woebegone ratings for decades, and yet it is still has a toehold on broadcast TV and a big presence on basic cable. Nobody forced TBS or Fox into these contracts. Don't they make money?
Matchups like these will happen. All the possible permutations are knowable in advance. So if you pay for such rights without considering the likelihood of such a matchup, you're a lousy, lousy businessperson.
This matchup should be no more a disaster for the baseball industry than a car accident is for the insurance industry.
Denver is a fairly large market but it doesn't have a lot of tradition and it's not promoted to the rest of the nation very well. Cleveland is the least glamorous of the traditional sad sacks (Boston, Cubs, Indians) with Boston no longer fitting the bill.
I think MLB needs to promote the sport of baseball better, not just the MLB games. Embrace the minor leagues, show the journeys of the various players to the big leagues so the entire nation has a stake in watching. When you tell people who Troy Tulowitzki is you have to show him playing in college at Long Beach, in the minors in Modesto, then Tulsa, OK, THEN with the Rockies. If you market it like that then you pick up 4 markets with one player and surely most of the nation with both rosters. But they don't market it that way.
vr, Xei
I heard no one talking about the NLCS and I've been performing the past week in states in the midwest, so it's not an east coast bias.
Having 2 teams with little tradition, being in cities that have never been baseball towns is a really bad mix. I watched the games. I have been caught up in the amazing story which is the Rockies. It is sad to me that most of America has little idea of what is happening, since there wasn't a Mets or Cubs team to draw them to the concert.
I'm not knocking the teams that made it this far (well, maybe the D-backs, who I have little understanding of how they managed to do what they did this season). It's about David and Goliath. I'm not saying it is bad for baseball because of how this effects Fox and TBS. The ratings are just a microcosm of the larger issue. They reflect that less than half the average amount of people are watching these games and that is why I think it is bad for baseball.
Hardcore hockey fans don't care who is playing in the Stanley Cup and I'm sure many of them were excited about new teams making the Finals. Well, Tampa Bay/Calgary (2004), (2005 strike season),Carolina/Edmonton (2006), and Anaheim/Ottawa (2007) was not good for the overall game. It is good for a historic team in the sport to be part of the mix. (Yeah, I know Edmonton had a great run with Gretzky, Kurri, Messier, but the Oilers don't draw casual fans to the game, anymore.)
If the Rockies or D-backs would have faced the Cards, Astros, or Mets, there would have been a lot more people watching the games. When I grew up, it didn't matter who played in the NLCS, most guys watched it. In the TV land where there are so many choices, this isn't the case. I want baseball to continue to grow it's product and be more competitive with football. I hate that baseball is rarely discussed on national sports talk radio. The 2007 NLCS might be a negligible blip in the grand scheme of things, but I really doubt it will be a positive.
The Mets play the Rockies, what 6-7 times a season? Fans in NY don't get to see these guys on a fairly regular basis. Especially when half of those 6-7 games are played at 7:05 MDT. So, having the wild card, and creating a situation where two teams from the same division could play each other in the LCS, means you are going to have a situation where only fans in that region are going to have any knowledge of the teams.
But I don't have cable and I'm not about to go out of my way to find someone with TBS to watch those games. I wonder what the demographics are out West in terms of the percentage of people that get TBS. I would bet that outside of California it's lower than it is on the East Coast.
What would have been good for baseball is to #1) not be stupid and blackout the games locally and #2) not be stupid and put the playoffs on TBS which has less viewers than FOX.
It stinks of Bill Wirtz taking the Blackhawks off local TV and telling people if they want to see the game they can buy a ticket.
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.