Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
scott@scottlongonline.com
Screamed the AP headline on SI.com. Here is the rest of the story.
NEW YORK (AP) -- The NL championship series opener between Colorado and Arizona was easily the least-watched LCS prime-time game ever. Colorado's 5-1 victory over Arizona on Thursday night received a 3.6 national rating, TBS said Friday. The previous low for a prime-time LCS game was 4.9, set by Game 4 of the AL championship series between the Chicago White Sox and the Angels on Fox in 2005 and matched by Game 3 of the NLCS between St. Louis and the New York Mets on Fox last year.
I don't usually do news stories around here, as Bob Timmermann does such a great job at the Griddle, but considering it makes my point even stronger...
Once again let me reiterate that the Rockies are a great story and deserve to be congratulated. Unfortunately when so few have interest, the story gets lost. This series could be as thrilling as the Yankees/D-backs World Series and so few would ever know. Let me repeat: The Rockies and D-Backs making the NLCS are not bad for baseball, but them playing each other in the NLCS is bad for baseball. My guess is the ratings will get even worse, with the Rockies seemingly on their way to the Series.
Now the Rockies versus the Red Sox is a wonderful David and Goliath match-up. As someone who loves the game and wants it to grow as a sport, I sure hope this is the match-up we get.
If MLB insisted that TV covered the sport during the year, and not just a select few teams, this might not happen.
And when the Arizona Cardinals were winning ...
(Spit take)
OK, back to regular programming.
I couldn't possibly care less what the ratings are for these games. I love baseball, and I am watching them (although I passed out in the 8th inning last night). I don't get some added joy by knowing that there are 6 million people watching with me instead of 4. Who gives a crap?
And for anyone irritated at all the Frank TV spots, just be glad that they aren't shoving The Bill Engvall Show down our throats like they were in the regular season. I would never consider watching an episode of that show, but from the spots, it looked like maybe the least funny show in the history of the world.
I think it is great that new teams get their time on the national stage. If the rockies were playing the mets, cubs, or dodgers players like holiday would be getting a lot more much-deserved attention. This would help establish them in the national psyche. I might not like it, but most of the national media is New York or LA based.
Most of my 'bad for baseball' rant comes from a d-backs bias. Phoenix is a bad sports town. They have already won a world championship. Their team is really fluky, as I don't think it is great when a team makes it this far that has been outscored by their opponents, overall. I feel similarly about the Marlins, as recent teams with a shaky fanbase are not optimal in my opinion.
I know I'm not gaining fans on this subject, but I guess I've never worried too much about being a non-believer in a sea of those with relgious fervor. This statement sounds a bit self-righteous. I am not so delusional that I don't see where some of my arguments have holes in them, but to me it really gets back to sports being at their best when there is a hero and a villian.
So far, 2007 has been overall a very uneventful playoff competition. Here's hoping the red sox and rockies go 7 games.
Having watched both games last night The "Bad for Baseball" game was much more interesting and entertaining than the, presumably, "Good for Baseball" game.
I see what your point is. Sports loves to have a black hat facing a white hat as it were.
The Yankees are the ultimate "black hat" in all of sports. I don't even think the NFL has anything remotely approaching that. People don't even hate the Patriots that much.
Dramatic games would help a lot. The Rockies getting more than one extra base hit would help too.
But here's a question: Why did the 1975 World Series resonate so much? The Red Sox were not THE RED SOX then. The Reds had famous players, but they are from the middle of nowhere for a lot of people.
But the games were great. They were presented well. People were interested. And there weren't many other compelling things to watch on TV.
And then right after you have demonized the Diamondbacks, you go on to say that the series lacks a villain.
I don't think this is an issue of you being a non-believer, Scott. It may be comfortable to basically say those who disagree with you are just too passionate to see the error of their ways, but I don't think that's what's going on. Objectively, I just don't think you're making coherent arguments.
Bottom line: As has been pointed out, baseball will not suffer from the Rockies-Diamondbacks matchup. The ratings this series gets are pretty much beside the point for the sport. Worst-case scenario: the next TV contract has fewer dollars, and the sport collectively has to adjust. (And yet, even that scenario is unlikely, as the rating the sport gets with this worst-possible matchup is still a competitive primetime rating, more than most series.) Should we really concerned about the consequences of this?
everything aliened perfectly that day I guess Bob, the perfect storm if you will...
The playoffs this year have been uneventful because the Yankees are the only losing team in any series to have won a game. The other series have all been sweeps thus far. That's "bad for baseball," but having exciting young teams like the Rockies and Diamondbacks and, by the way, the Indians and Phillies, is great for the sport as it showcases new star players on a national stage. In 2008 Matt Holliday, Troy Tulowitzki, Jeff Francis, Chris Young, Micah Owings, Fausto Carmona, Rafael Perez, even Grady Sizemore (who is not nearly as unknown or underrated as all the blowhards seem to insist) and others will be far more marketable based on their exposure this postseason, and creating and promoting new exciting star players is the most important thing any sport can do in terms of publicity and public relations.
What would be good for baseball is if the ratings dropped so drastically that FOX tried to get out of their contract, and the playoffs were presented by good broadcasters.
Let me begin by saying it is very lonely defending my convoluted postion. (Jon, I know I've been all over the place on this one)
I am 100 percent sure that TBS is not happy they have the d+backs/rockies. For the money they paid, they were not expecting a matchup like this and the lack of igames isn't good either. Because of the quick series there has been no intrigue, either. I know most here think my argument as this being bad for baseball is wrong, but these series have been bad for TBS.
I'm not getting anywhere defending my position. I will concede that my argument has been all over the place, but I do know that a lot of people agree with me on the subject. Unfortunately they aren't a lot of people that I like to align myself with, casual fans, sports talk show hosts, tv execs, so I do feel kind of lousy about my stance, but..... I still think 2 underdog, small market teams, with limited baseball traditon is not good.
I don't really connect with the reasoning of using the 1975 series, but then I'm whiffing with all commenters on my stance here so...
By the way, can anyone think of any league championship series that didn't have one future hall of famer that was on their active roster. Sure both the rockies and arizona have a lot of good young players, but the only guy that has decent odds is Helton and his home/away splits will make him a tough choice. Might be an interesting piece for Mike C or bob to explore.
Oh and in regards to cliff, I want to say I continue my streak of never getting a positive comment from him. Congrats for your consistency in being in opposition to me. I do believe some day I will come up with somethung we can agree on. It consumes my thoughts.
The best way to get to the HOF is to win the World Series. Let's touch base at the end of the month.
Love,
2003 Marlins
As has been pointed out, since the previous lowest rated NLCS matchup was the tradition rich Cardinals and the NEW YORK CITY Mets there really is no way to guarantee high ratings. Ratings for all of television continue to go down because of the vast number of choices that are available and except for flukes that trend will continue unabated.
NBC's Sunday Night Football is considered a ratings blockbuster and has been the highest rated television show of the week in just about every week this year yet its national rating is just a little more than half of what MNF's was in its heyday.
Shitty ratings are at least 50% the fault of the times the games are being shown, IMO.
This is another problem with this series, as the teams are in the Mountain and West coast time zones, so to give the franchises night games that don't start at 5pm, the games are set to go on until after midnight on the east coast. It is better when there is a mix of one team being in the east/central time zone, so part of the series can be played at a decent hour for the majority of the US.
There is very little discussion going on about the Rockies/D-backs series. This is my central point about why I don't think it is good for baseball. If just one of the underdogs was in the series, it would bring more attention to that team. We will see that in the World Series, especially if they play against the Red Sox.
The ratings are incredibly low, even if you take into account that they are on TBS and the second game started really late.
1. The series is bad for Scott Long.
2. The series is bad for TBS revenues.
I have yet to see established that there exists some value X such that
Scott Long + TBS revenues + X = baseball.
Top 4 places that have emphasized how GREAT it is that the Rockies and D-Backs are in the NLCS.
1. Colorado News Media
2. Arizona News Media
3. TBS studio crew
4. The Juice Blog Comment section!
Yikes.
The Rockies get to be a better story with every win they post. If they win the world series w/o losing a game, that would be 25 out of 26. Wouldn't that rank as one of the all time best achievements in baseball history??
The Rockies are an amazing story, but they are getting way less attention as they deserve. Beats me why that is. Really, I have got nothing on why that might be.
You love watching double plays!
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/15/sports/baseball/15rockies.html?ref=baseball
Although (Bob)DuPuy said ratings for the first round of playoffs were strong, he said the audience size for the first two games of the N.L.C.S. had not been as good.
"So far, they have not measured up," DuPuy said, adding that accurate figures would not be available until Monday.
Part of the reason for low ratings, he said, was "these are two young teams the nation doesn't know that much about yet."
He added, "We're hoping if this were to be a long series, the ratings would grow with the story line."
DuPuy played down the idea that the games' being broadcast on cable was an issue, saying that about "93 percent or 94 percent" of the nation had access to cable television.
As for Hall of Famers, it's way to early to rule out guys like Tulowitzki or Chris Young, or even Brandon Webb.
Randy Johnson is why I carefully worded it active roster.
If you measure Carlos Delgado and Todd Helton, they are really difficult to say who is better.
Helton's splits are very Coors Field.
OBP
Home 367
Away 295
SLG
Home 663
Away 502
BA
Home 367
Away 295
Delgado splits are basically the same home and away.
OBP 386
SLG 549
BA 280
Helton is better defensively. Delgado has 431 homers so far, while Todd is at 303. Hits are close and they are similar in age, but Helton is aging more gracefully.
Not sure if I think either one will deserve to be in the hall of fame, especially considering Palmiero won't be let in. (yeah, I know why, but I will just allude to the idea that Wayne Hagen wasn;t absolutely full of crap.)
On the subject of the 2003 Marlins, I would definitely take Miguel Cabrera in the HOF future pool over anyone who is playing for the D-backs or Rockies. Josh Beckett doesn't look too badly, either.
You make it sound like baseball is doomed--doomed! because of this matchup, when all it seems like to me is a small pothole in a vast continent of baseball revenues. It's not a five-mile wide asteroid crashing into New York City.
Having said this, I have been really underwhelmed with the quality of the games. Webb and Francis are excellent, but...Josh Fogg. Livan Hernandez. Micah Owings. Doug Davis. Not the type of pitchers I expect to be starting in a LCS. Add to this that the Rockies have 2 starting pitchers who have thrown 39 (Morales) and 89 (Jimenz) innings in their major league careers. I like both of them, but it just seems a little too soon, too fast for them.
Here is a fun little thing I ran across when studying Francis. In the 7 inter-league games he has pitched over the past 2 seasons, he has been great in 5 of them. When facing the Red Sox and Yankees, during these 12 innings, he struck out 15 batters and gave up only one earned run. I know this is a ridiculously low sample size, but it does show the AL has had nothing on him so far.
On one hand, I read some here bitching about the games being on TBS, but then I also read that they think this type of series is great. If you want to have a better chance of getting all the games on network TV, the matchups need to be something they feel they can market. This series completely lacks that. My caring about the marketing and the networks comes from wanting MLB to grow in popularity.
If you feel I'm giving you (the reader here) a headache, you have no idea how much I'm giving myself one.
Source: Purple Row
If you listen to some grumbling out East, you've probably been hearing a lot about how this NLCS is lame because the teams are so young, that they have no history, that they're just too new to get behind. It's true, but I sometimes wonder if fans were saying the same thing a hundred years ago about the Cubs and Tigers, where a Chicago team with a mid-twenties keystone tandem named Tinkers and Evers and a veteran first baseman named Frank Chance were repeating over a Detroit squad that featured a 20 year old phenom named Ty Cobb. It's trite, but history can't be written until after the games get played. It's not always easy to see events for their historical significance when you're in the middle of them.
And generally, I really don't get your insistence that anyone who doesn't abhor this NLCS is a Kool-Aid drinker. We (grouping myself in with Jon, Cliff etc) like baseball but have no vested interest in its success. We're enjoying the series and the whole Rockies thing. It's as simple as that. If I didn't like the series, I wouldn't watch, and I wouldn't pretend to like it. Like last year's Cards/Tigers WS, which bored me to no end.
If anything, you're the one who is acting like a religious zealot, continuing to cover your ears and insist that you're right and we're all wrong. You might as well be the hobo standing outside Coors Field tonight wearing a sandwich board sign that says "The end is near."
Baseball...An athletic competition involving teams of players located east of the Rocky Mountains and predominantly in the Northeastern United States.
In regards to Webb, he is 28 years old, with 65 wins. He has been great during his career, but unless he strings together 8 more seasons like the past 2, his late start will keep him out. Cabrera is only 24, has 138 homers, BA of .313, and an OPS of .930. And this wasn't done in Coors Field. My guess is that any HOF prediction tool would have Cabrera way ahead of Webb.
I am well aware that I'm pissing off people at a rapid pace here. Sometimes I take the role of contrarian to create more discussion. This is not the case on this one, as I truly believe what I'm saying, as wrong-headed as most commenters believe I am.
Oh and if you hated my analysis, check out the playoff blog from Esquire Magazine.
http://www.esquire.com/the-side/blog/baseballblog101507
Note: Raab is one of the best feature piece writers on the planet. He also was my English Lit TA in college, a grad of the University of Iowa, and a big Indians fan (from Cleveland). He also was a douchebag for a TA.
Latest on the coverage of the series that no one watched. This comes from the Baltimore Sun.
With its matchup of small-market, tradition-poor teams, the National League Championship Series is setting TV ratings lows.
The Colorado Rockies' 11-inning, 3-2 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 2 on Friday night drew a 2.2 national rating, less than half of the lowest-ever prime-time league championship series rating before this season (4.9).
Game 1 on Thursday night, when more viewers traditionally watch TV, had set the previous record low of 3.6.
Ratings for Sunday night's Game 3 will be available today.
The American League Championship Series, boasting the large-market, tradition-rich Boston Red Sox, drew a 4.8 rating for their 10-3 victory in Game 1 over the Cleveland Indians on Friday night. That is also below the record low before this year.
But ratings rebounded for Game 2, as the Indians' 13-6 victory in 11 innings drew a 5.7.
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