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Best Pitching Match-up of the Week: Halladay versus Buerhle
2007-06-01 12:32
by Scott Long
Notes:
Scott Long is now blogging at NSFWsports.com.
Will Carroll can still be found at Baseball Prospectus.

Two of the best pitchers over the past 5 seasons met up Thursday night. In a game that took only 1:50, Roy Halladay threw 7 shutout innings to beat the White Sox, 2-0. Mark Buerhle got the loss, despite throwing a 2-hit complete game, as both hits off him were homeruns. Between the 2 starting pitchers, the overall line shows 16 IP, 8 hits, 2 ER, 13 K, and NO WALKS.

Their overall career stats are very similar. Halladay won his 100th game last night, denying Buerhle from winning his 100th game. Halladay career ERA is 3.63 and WHIP is 1.23. Buerhle career ERA is 3.83 and WHIP is 1.25.

During a conversation with Will Carroll, we were trying to figure out what Mark Buerhle will make on the open market. It will depend much on what Buerhle wants to do, as he has made it no secret he wants to play for his boyhood favorite Cardinals. While few doubt he will give St. Louis a hometown discount, it is questionable how much the Cardinals have in the budget to sign him. Foxsports.com Ken Rosenthal discussed his impending free agency, after Buerhle had thrown his no-hitter in April.

Considering the current market for starting pitching, an innings eater like Buerhle will make around $15 million per year. Buerhle is the closest thing to Tom Glavine in an under 30 year-old pitcher. His durability gives him the right to ask for a 6 year deal. I don't see the White Sox offering longer than 4, so expect Buerhle to be on the open market.

 

Comments
2007-06-01 19:51:36
1.   chris in illinois
The Cardinals should have all the money in the freakin' world. Their ticket prices now rival the Red Sox and their concessions are not only outrageously expensive, they are outrageously bad as well. The food is so rotten...well...I...can't think of an adequate metaphor that doesn't involve the word 'shit' and that's way too easy.

It says something that despite the fact that I live a mere 90 minutes from St. Louis I have been to more Brewer games in the last five years and something like five times more games in Wrigley.

End Rant.

2007-06-01 22:05:21
2.   Bluebleeder87
The Yanks & BoSox always have money to burn maybe they'll have at 'um.
2007-06-02 11:30:33
3.   Voxter
So I guess the question with Buehrle has become: What was wrong with him last year? He's already struck out half as many men this season as he did last year, in just more than a quarter as many innings. I was concerned after last something that there was something seriously wrong with his arm, and what you might see this season would be some disasterous starts, and a quick disabling that might lead to surgery or a future of inconsistency. He seems to have righted his ship some.

That said, he does appear to be having some good hit luck. In most years of his career, save last year when his missing Ks appear to have turned into hits, Buehrle has given up a few more hits than innings pitched; this year, he's way below that. It might just be an anamoly, but it might also mean that we'll see a return to an ERA closer to four than 3.50 by the time the season is over. Of course, in a hitter's park and throwing 240 innings, that's a valuable thing.

As someone who follows the White Sox more closely, was there a temporary thing happening with Buehrle that someone not following the team very closely either wouldn't know or might not remember?

2007-06-02 18:23:09
4.   Scott Long
The White Sox staff obviously wasn't as good as they demonstrated in 2005, but they were better than they showed in 2006.

The staff was fatigued from the long season they had in 2005. Just see what has happened to the Tigers pitchers this year from fatigue. Pretty amazing that despite their fatigue, not one of their Big 4 had any major DL time. (Sox training staff is as good as it gets.)

This was why I was so down on PECOTA's expectations for this year's starting staff. Having said that, their hitting and especially of late their bullpen could put them below 500 for the year.

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