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College Football Top 25, Plus Best Bets for the Weekend
2006-09-15 21:03
I was going through my posts the other day and realized that I never put up my pre-season College Football Top 25. Now I realize it seems like I'm cheating by posting it now, but I guess I will have to let you determine from these choices if I deserve the honor system. Below my Top 25 are my football picks for this week. Last year I was 34-23 (over 60 percent) on my best bet NFL picks, which most of your famous tout sheets would love to be able to say. In the colleges, I would have lost you some money, as my best bets were 29-27. I never play the first week of the NFL, as I feel it's too much of a crapshoot. On to week 2 we go, below the Top 25. Scott's 2006 Pre-Season Top 25 1. Auburn College Football is very much about scheduling and coaching, as these factors make a lot bigger difference than they do in the NFL. Auburn has one of the Top 10 coaches in college football and a schedule where their toughest games are at home. 6. Virginia Tech The Hokies' Beamer is one of the best 5 coaches and they play a very advantageous schedule. 11. Tennessee The best college football magazine hands down is Phil Steele's preview. He opened my eyes to the Vols bad luck in 2006, as they definitely underperformed their Pythagorean. With Cutcliffe back as offensive co-coordinator they will jump right back in it. 16. California Another top-10 coach is Tedford in Berkley. They would rate higher if not playing their 2 toughest games on the road. 21. Michigan St. The Spartans are my biggest surprise of 2006, as they have a top-notch QB and a favorable schedule. (NOTE: This was written before the season. How Iowa and Oklahoma have looked so far, I don't look so good. Now my Texas and Tennessee rankings do look a lot better, though. College Best Bets 3 star Michigan St. (+2.5) Pittsburgh The Spartans are one of my teams on the rise and I like betting against Wannstadt. The Sooners are getting too many points here, as I see them winning by at least a field goal. While Spurrier never seemed to have much trouble winning in Knoxville, I see the Vols winning a tight one. While USC has better talent and coaching, too many distractions keep this game closer. Not a fan of either coach, as they are more recruiters than tacticians, but the Orangemen have a decent d-line, which should help them win the battle in the trenches. NFL Best Bets 3 star Green Bay (-3) New Orleans If the Packers can't win this game at home, it's time to rethink the whole season. Even with Portis out, the Skins defense will keep this game close. As long as Rivers is solid, the Chargers will be one of the Top 5 teams in the NFL. The outcomes of last week give the Pats good value against the Jets. With Steve Smith hurt, expect to see the Panthers play more conservatively; something the Vikings will be doing all year. Go under.
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That said, the Ducks always score. Their problem is, and apparently always will be, defensive coordinator Nick Alliotti. How many times can one guy cost his team a BCS shot (including a national title shot in 2002, grumble grumble) by fielding defenses that routinely give up 35-40 points to good teams before he gets fired? Infinitely many, if he coaches for Oregon, I guess.
Gonna get thumped by the Trojans, though. As per usual.
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