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White Sox breakdown- Dye to Widger to No Chance?
2005-04-27 20:18
by Scott Long

OK, I've tried to stay quiet on the subject of the White Sox for a couple of weeks, realizing that the season is early, but here are a few things you should know if you haven't been paying attention.

As I mentioned in my pre-season preview, the White Sox have great pitching. I rated their staff only behind Boston and New York in the AL and that might have been slighting them. Jon Garland is pitching way better than I suspected, but considering he was the team's 5th starter, I still don't see what the experts who said Cleveland and Detroit had a better staff were thinking. The bullpen is really good, as the depth of having 4 former closers on staff makes up for not having one shutdown hurler.

This kind of pitching is the reason the White Sox have had a lead in every game they have played in 2005. Yes, the ridiculous record of winning 9 of the 11 one-run games will balance out, but when you start 16-4, it's hard not to be a factor in the playoff race right down to the end.

The defense is the best the White Sox have ever had, since I've been watching them, as Uribe is a bit unorthodox, but makes all the plays, while Iguchi is very solid. Kenny Williams made two great moves in picking up this double play combination, over the past two off-seasons. Crede has always been good, while Konerko doesn't hurt you, so the infield defense is above average. Add that the outfield is slightly better with Podsednik covering more ground in the outfield than Carlos Lee and Pierzynski calling a better game than Olivo or any of the other catchers the Sox have had in the past and this is just a different squad on the field.

Now to the offense. The naysayers who questioned the team's ability to get on base have been proven right. The offense in the infield is better than average, but Posednik and Dye are just not good enough as everyday outfielder's. (Williams made a bad move in signing Dye for the money he did.) As I mentioned prior to the season, if Frank Thomas can bounce back to his 2004 first half numbers, the team can overtake the Twins, but that is a big if. Baseball Prosectus Prospect #32, Brian Anderson should be playing now, instead of the wasted at bats that Timo Perez is given. The missing outfield production is there with a rotation on the corners of Everett, Podsednik, Anderson, and Dye, with Rowand playing everyday in center.

If you didn't hear about today's game with Oakland, their one major depth problem was exposed, as Uribe was unavailable, battling a groin injury and with Iguchi out, as well, the White Sox had to move Crede to short and put Chris Widger at third. I'm not joking. Then to add to the circus, Crede was thrown out, after reacting to a poor call by the homeplate umpire, so in the ninth, the Sox had Dye at short. Somehow, the team almost won the game, as Garcia pitched another great game.

Ultimately, I still suspect the Twins will win the AL Central, as pennant experience and superior managing will make the difference, but both will be in the Wild Card race, considering the strength of their pitching staffs. Cleveland and Detroit just can't compete, as their oveall staffs just don't measure up. Sure it's too early to be certain of anything, but when you have had a lead in all 22 games you've played, you're looking at more than a fluke.

Comments
2005-04-27 21:39:03
1.   The Cheat
In the span of about 16 hours, the Sox had 3 different players make their major league debuts at short, and a 4th made his debut at third base.

I'm not trying to spam here, but I don't see a link to your E-mail. so scott, check out my blog. -- http://sshitmen.blogspot.com

2005-04-27 21:48:41
2.   Wrigleyviller
Good lord. Now I know why it is so damn important to have a backup option at short, even if the player sucks royally. I mean, Dye at shortstop? It's like a move in a bad baseball video game.

On the other hand, I can hear Jayson Stark's head exploding in my left ear and Tony LaRussa hyperventalating in my right.

2005-04-27 22:27:06
3.   The Cheat
Wrigley, the Sox have 4 middle infieders. They go three deep at SS, and 4 deep at 2B. The problem was 3 of them went down after the 7th inning of a West Coast night game. It was a fluke. None of the injuries are serious, but the Sox still put the best possible combination they could out there Wednesday. With an off day today, it would have been stupid, if not impossible, to call up one of the middle infield scrubs patrolling AAA from Charlotte to Oakland.

It's a loss. The Sox took a game into the ninth with a softball league defense. They'll be back on Friday, healthy and ready to go.

2005-04-27 22:43:21
4.   Smed
Trade you Neifi Perez - cheap!
2005-04-27 22:44:37
5.   The Cheat
You've gotta take his brother Tim-0!
2005-04-28 06:52:37
6.   dianagramr
We'll send you Reyes and Matsui, to complement "The Team that Couldn't Walk Straight (to First Base)".

(depressed Mets fan here)

2005-04-28 15:42:45
7.   TFD
The things that will make the difference for the Twins are...

1.) Johan Santana,
2.) bullpen,
3.) halfway productive pitching by Carlos Silva,

not managing and experience.

2005-04-28 15:43:42
8.   TFD
Oh yeah, and when it matters, the Twins will punk the GFWS.
2005-04-28 18:00:53
9.   misterjohnny
Scott, I think your bias towards the White Sox has clouded your judgement. THat was an excellent call on the HBP. More umpires ought to have the guts to make that call.
2005-04-28 19:03:31
10.   johnny mostil
Misterjohnny, it is not an "excellent call" if it is not normally called, it is "selective prosecution of the rules". I think in 30 years I've seen that called maybe twice. I have seen dozens of hitter lean over the plate, be hit by balls in the strike zone, and take their bases. Given that A's pitching had hit five batters in 27 innings -- 10X the normal rate -- leading up to that call, it was absolutely bizarre and arbitrary even if it was technically correct.
2005-04-28 23:33:25
11.   Scott Long
Yeah, Mister Johnny. Take that.

The ball was inside and he did not even lean over the plate. Check out the link left for the Cheat's blog, as he outlines the past history between the umpiring crew and Guillen. For them to run Crede, in a tie game in the 9th, when the White Sox were out of infielders was really reactionary and should be looked at by the league.

In regards to my bias, I'm not pretending that I don't have a rooting interest in the White SOx, but point to any of my analysis of the team and show me where I'm off-track and I will consider your point. I think it's been pretty right on so far.

2005-04-29 04:46:26
12.   Dann Fuller
If it's not normally called, that makes the past instances where it hasn't been called the wrong ones, not the one where it was called.

Running Crede might have been over the line (I have no idea what he might have said in addition to throwing his bat in anger, and seeing Guillen react to Magglio Ordonez I can certainly believe that the umps might not like him), but the call on the play itself was correct. The rule's pretty clear: the pitch was a ball, Crede made no effort to avoid the pitch (and arguably made an effort to get hit by it). Instead of the HBP, it was called a ball.

2005-04-30 08:57:57
13.   Faust
Scott, I think you're way off base with this one.

What happens every day in baseball is that guys stand there like a statue, making no attempt to get out of the way of a pitch, and "take one for the team." They often rotate their shoulder away from the ball, ostensibly an attempt to get out of the way but in reality projecting their shoulder out another inch or two toward the plate. It's never called. I wish it would be, but it isn't, with complete consistency. The unwritten rule, which apparently trumps the written rule, is that if you just let the ball hit you, without going out of your way to make contact, they'll let you have your base. I suppose the justification is that the umps don't want to get into the murky areas of judging batters' motives, whether they were too surprised by the pitch to move in time or were just not "making an effort" to get out of the way. I can understand that.

What Crede did was completely different. He didn't merely allow the contact, he CREATED the contact by reaching down a good six inches with his elbow to get in the path of the ball. (This utter lack of batter fear is an occupational hazard for a soft tosser like Duchscherer; Randy Johnson never has to deal with this kind of annoyance.) That pitch simply would not have hit Crede if he had't reached down for it. Whereas standing there to take your lumps is utterly routine, going well out of your way to create contact is a exceedingly uncommon. It's crossing the line, and it's just not something the umps can let go.

You say, as Crede did, that Crede didn't lean over the plate. What has that got to do with anything? No one said he leaned over the plate. The ump called it a ball, not a strike. The relevant point is that he created a HBP on a pitch that wasn't going to hit him.

And do you seriously think (as your comment implies) the umps should be taking the Sox' depleted bench into consideration...well, I don't know what to say. Crede did a big-time bat fling while screaming directly at the ump, and you think he shouldn't expect to get thrown out? That it indicates prejudice by the ump to get thrown out there? You really think another set of umps would have sat still for that? Of course the umps should not punish Guillen's team for past disagreements, but letting Ozzie intimidate them out of making calls against his team would be equally unprofessional and reprehensible.

By the way, as a kid, I happened to be watching the game, ah, 37 years ago? ouch! when Hunter Wendelstadt's dad made the famous call during Drysdale's streak. Drysdale's scoreless streak was up to around 50 IP, the Dodgers had a 3-0 lead in the top of the 9th, but the Giants had the bases loaded with no outs. Drysdale hit Dick Dietz with a pitch (exactly the kind of stand-there-while-rotating-the-shoulder play you see all the time) but Harry W. called him back. (Of course the Giants still had the bases loaded with no outs, but managed not to score.) Now THAT infuriated me, and I've always considered Drysdale's record illegitimate as a consequence. That call, then as now, was never ever made, and obviously the ump was affected by the scoreless streak. He made a different call than he would have otherwise, the textbook definition of "special treatment."

In Dietz's case, it was a routine act that drew an exceptional call. That's wrong. In Crede's case, it was an exceptional act that drew an exceptional call. That's entirely appropriate.

2005-04-30 09:22:13
14.   Scott Long
Nice post, Faust. My thoughts on this call were prejudiced by other poor calls during this series by this crew. Two times the night before, blown calls went against the Sox, costing them the game. This one I don't believe was as bad as those, but for the umpire to add it to the list, just raised highly the tilted ledger. In truth, Crede facing a 3-2 pitch was a benefit to the Sox, versus a pinch hitter or whoever else was following him, so that wasn't the part that bothered me most. The throwing out part was the one that was over the top.

In Scott's Big Book of Good Umpiring, if an umpiring crew blows a call the night before which potentially or actually cost a team a game, the crew is aware of this and if another call is a question in their mind, they consider this. More importantly, they would understand that tensions are high because of the mistake(s) the night before and would not have a short leash in running a player. Hunter should have let Crede off on his frustration, especially considering the depleted situation they were in . This is the human element of baseball and I this is the biggest f-up the crew made during a bad series by them.

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